BNB · 24h resolves 1 Aug, 09:02 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $592 | $588 – $600 | $583 – $608 | $594 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:02 UTC · sha256 d882b470804e · bias long — awaiting result
Live public experiment
Our models vs the markets
We forecast real-world events — football, crypto price moves, politics, weather, esports — and score ourselves against the markets people actually trade on: Polymarket, SX Bet, Binance. The model's probabilities are locked before each event, the market's price is frozen at the same instant, and both get scored against reality afterwards. Every call stays on the record — including the ones we lose. Two tracks are live: sealed crypto price distributions, and World Cup match odds.
1 Every forecast is written in full, SHA-256 hashed and anchored to the Bitcoin blockchain before it is published.
2 We publish a distribution, not a price call: a core 50% zone and a wider 80% band, each with its stated probability.
3 The outcome is the Binance close of the minute containing the stated resolution time. No other venue, no re-pick.
4 Coverage is the score. The outcome should land inside the core zone about half the time — much more is cowardice, much less is overconfidence, and both are failures.
Forecasts scored · distinct days 66over 9 days
Core 50% coverage (target 50%) 85%
Wide 80% coverage (target 80%) 98%
Median error · sealed & waiting 1.00%108 pending
These assets move together. Eight forecasts sealed on one morning are not eight independent claims — when Bitcoin leaves its band, most of the rest leave theirs on the same candle. That is why the count of distinct days sits next to the count of forecasts, and why coverage is broken out per asset below rather than pooled into one flattering number.
ADA 83% core
· 6 scored BNB 88% core
· 8 scored BTC 75% core
· 12 scored DOGE 71% core
· 7 scored ETH 92% core
· 12 scored LINK 83% core
· 6 scored SOL 100% core
· 8 scored XRP 86% core
· 7 scored
📈 Crypto — sealed price distributions vs Binance spot
BNB · 7d resolves 7 Aug, 09:02 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $592 | $581 – $624 | $563 – $651 | $597 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:02 UTC · sha256 d882b470804e · bias neutral — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 30 Aug, 09:02 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $592 | $525 – $681 | $449 – $728 | $610 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:02 UTC · sha256 d882b470804e · bias neutral — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 1 Aug, 09:02 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.67 | $72.09 – $74.81 | $71.02 – $76.60 | $73.50 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:02 UTC · sha256 e1387bd8710c · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 7d resolves 7 Aug, 09:02 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.67 | $67.36 – $79.54 | $62.02 – $88.51 | $72.47 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:02 UTC · sha256 e1387bd8710c · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 30 Aug, 09:02 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.67 | $59.48 – $87.16 | $50.22 – $122 | $70.85 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:02 UTC · sha256 e1387bd8710c · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 1 Aug, 09:01 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $63,839 | $63,133 – $64,366 | $62,364 – $65,189 | $63,751 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:01 UTC · sha256 60d75e9df246 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 7d resolves 7 Aug, 09:01 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $63,839 | $61,537 – $65,960 | $59,355 – $69,095 | $63,624 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:01 UTC · sha256 60d75e9df246 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 30 Aug, 09:01 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $63,839 | $55,861 – $74,440 | $50,254 – $81,080 | $62,801 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:01 UTC · sha256 60d75e9df246 · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 1 Aug, 09:01 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,891 | $1,869 – $1,920 | $1,838 – $1,965 | $1,895 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:01 UTC · sha256 3fda903b4c9e · bias long — awaiting result
ETH · 7d resolves 7 Aug, 09:01 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,891 | $1,808 – $2,026 | $1,702 – $2,153 | $1,904 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:01 UTC · sha256 3fda903b4c9e · bias neutral — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 30 Aug, 09:01 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,891 | $1,687 – $2,284 | $1,445 – $2,570 | $1,904 | … |
🔒 sealed 31 Jul, 09:01 UTC · sha256 3fda903b4c9e · bias neutral — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 31 Jul, 08:22 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $576 | $567 – $588 | $552 – $604 | $577 | $592 |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:22 UTC · sha256 0f4f316cd8ab · bias neutral — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +2.52%
BNB · 7d resolves 6 Aug, 08:22 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $576 | $551 – $614 | $516 – $658 | $578 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:22 UTC · sha256 0f4f316cd8ab · bias neutral — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 29 Aug, 08:22 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $576 | $520 – $665 | $445 – $795 | $582 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:22 UTC · sha256 0f4f316cd8ab · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 31 Jul, 08:22 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.46 | $71.02 – $75.37 | $68.86 – $78.00 | $73.09 | $73.64 |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:22 UTC · sha256 2deacf2a849d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.75%
SOL · 7d resolves 6 Aug, 08:22 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.46 | $67.15 – $79.30 | $61.82 – $88.24 | $72.26 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:22 UTC · sha256 2deacf2a849d · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 29 Aug, 08:22 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.46 | $59.27 – $86.87 | $50.04 – $122 | $70.62 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:22 UTC · sha256 2deacf2a849d · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 31 Jul, 08:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,066 | $63,554 – $64,629 | $62,773 – $65,415 | $64,063 | $63,893 |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:21 UTC · sha256 2188a55860f3 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.27%
BTC · 7d resolves 6 Aug, 08:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,066 | $62,076 – $66,614 | $59,886 – $69,464 | $64,188 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:21 UTC · sha256 2188a55860f3 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 29 Aug, 08:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,066 | $55,379 – $75,645 | $49,972 – $83,018 | $62,882 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:21 UTC · sha256 2188a55860f3 · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 31 Jul, 08:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,907 | $1,884 – $1,935 | $1,851 – $1,981 | $1,910 | $1,890 |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:21 UTC · sha256 10a3ff103c28 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -1.02%
ETH · 7d resolves 6 Aug, 08:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,907 | $1,823 – $2,042 | $1,716 – $2,168 | $1,918 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:21 UTC · sha256 10a3ff103c28 · bias neutral — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 29 Aug, 08:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,907 | $1,700 – $2,299 | $1,459 – $2,573 | $1,918 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:21 UTC · sha256 10a3ff103c28 · bias neutral — awaiting result
DOGE · 24h resolves 31 Jul, 08:19 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:19 UTC · sha256 7c76de79e058 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.37%
DOGE · 7d resolves 6 Aug, 08:19 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:19 UTC · sha256 7c76de79e058 · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 30d resolves 29 Aug, 08:19 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.05 – $0.09 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:19 UTC · sha256 7c76de79e058 · bias short — awaiting result
XRP · 24h resolves 31 Jul, 08:19 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.08 | $1.06 – $1.09 | $1.04 – $1.11 | $1.08 | $1.08 |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:19 UTC · sha256 7f9766429ca4 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.20%
XRP · 7d resolves 6 Aug, 08:19 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.08 | $1.02 – $1.13 | $0.98 – $1.20 | $1.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:19 UTC · sha256 7f9766429ca4 · bias short — awaiting result
XRP · 30d resolves 29 Aug, 08:19 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.08 | $0.95 – $1.25 | $0.86 – $1.48 | $1.08 | … |
🔒 sealed 30 Jul, 08:19 UTC · sha256 7f9766429ca4 · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 30 Jul, 10:16 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $573 | $563 – $584 | $548 – $601 | $573 | $581 |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:16 UTC · sha256 f14969830e84 · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.32%
BNB · 7d resolves 5 Aug, 10:16 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $573 | $546 – $609 | $512 – $653 | $573 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:16 UTC · sha256 f14969830e84 · bias neutral — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 28 Aug, 10:16 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $573 | $516 – $659 | $441 – $789 | $578 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:16 UTC · sha256 f14969830e84 · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 30 Jul, 10:16 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.04 | $72.41 – $75.11 | $71.37 – $76.87 | $73.81 | $74.13 |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:16 UTC · sha256 30d06feaddcb · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.43%
SOL · 7d resolves 5 Aug, 10:16 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.04 | $67.71 – $77.93 | $64.20 – $83.50 | $73.45 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:16 UTC · sha256 30d06feaddcb · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 28 Aug, 10:16 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.04 | $51.11 – $71.50 | $38.80 – $79.90 | $60.20 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:16 UTC · sha256 30d06feaddcb · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 30 Jul, 10:09 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,647 | $64,058 – $65,293 | $63,305 – $66,121 | $64,670 | $64,603 |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:09 UTC · sha256 30121bb70fdb · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.10%
BTC · 7d resolves 5 Aug, 10:09 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,647 | $62,644 – $67,140 | $60,399 – $70,338 | $64,750 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:09 UTC · sha256 30121bb70fdb · bias neutral — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 28 Aug, 10:09 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,647 | $56,917 – $76,680 | $51,498 – $83,527 | $64,488 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:09 UTC · sha256 30121bb70fdb · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 30 Jul, 10:10 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,921 | $1,900 – $1,954 | $1,866 – $1,999 | $1,926 | $1,919 |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:09 UTC · sha256 bbce1f066fab · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.37%
ETH · 7d resolves 5 Aug, 10:10 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,921 | $1,844 – $2,071 | $1,733 – $2,205 | $1,946 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:09 UTC · sha256 bbce1f066fab · bias long — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 28 Aug, 10:10 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,921 | $1,736 – $2,346 | $1,478 – $2,665 | $1,971 | … |
🔒 sealed 29 Jul, 10:09 UTC · sha256 bbce1f066fab · bias long — awaiting result
ADA · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.15 – $0.16 | $0.15 – $0.17 | $0.16 | $0.16 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 be4f4a8aacf3 · bias short — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +4.84%
ADA · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.14 – $0.17 | $0.13 – $0.18 | $0.15 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 be4f4a8aacf3 · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.13 – $0.18 | $0.11 – $0.23 | $0.15 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 be4f4a8aacf3 · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 526e4bb4cc1f · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.30%
DOGE · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 526e4bb4cc1f · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.05 – $0.09 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 526e4bb4cc1f · bias short — awaiting result
LINK · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.33 | $8.12 – $8.60 | $7.88 – $8.89 | $8.36 | $8.44 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 20c6dd4a2b6e · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.95%
LINK · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.33 | $7.82 – $9.14 | $7.23 – $9.96 | $8.43 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 20c6dd4a2b6e · bias long — awaiting result
LINK · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.33 | $7.27 – $10.37 | $6.16 – $12.95 | $8.64 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 20c6dd4a2b6e · bias long — awaiting result
XRP · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.06 | $1.03 – $1.07 | $1.01 – $1.11 | $1.05 | $1.09 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 3198c5ab7a3f · bias short — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +3.18%
XRP · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.06 | $0.99 – $1.10 | $0.92 – $1.19 | $1.04 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 3198c5ab7a3f · bias short — awaiting result
XRP · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.06 | $0.89 – $1.15 | $0.78 – $1.44 | $1.00 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:49 UTC · sha256 3198c5ab7a3f · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $566 | $555 – $576 | $541 – $592 | $565 | $571 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 690c615f4738 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.99%
BNB · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $566 | $538 – $599 | $504 – $643 | $564 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 690c615f4738 · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $566 | $508 – $649 | $434 – $777 | $569 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 690c615f4738 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $63,496 | $62,426 – $64,308 | $61,134 – $65,777 | $63,346 | $64,455 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 bf9fe3c51486 · bias short — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +1.75%
BTC · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $63,496 | $60,421 – $66,196 | $56,953 – $70,461 | $63,176 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 bf9fe3c51486 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $63,496 | $56,204 – $70,833 | $49,774 – $82,112 | $62,599 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 bf9fe3c51486 · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,885 | $1,855 – $1,933 | $1,807 – $1,989 | $1,893 | $1,917 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 b8c5c885340f · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.30%
ETH · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,885 | $1,802 – $2,037 | $1,673 – $2,198 | $1,911 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 b8c5c885340f · bias long — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,885 | $1,675 – $2,310 | $1,436 – $2,802 | $1,950 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 b8c5c885340f · bias long — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 29 Jul, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.41 | $70.98 – $75.33 | $68.82 – $77.96 | $73.06 | $74.10 |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 cacdb64f4999 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.43%
SOL · 7d resolves 4 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.41 | $67.11 – $79.27 | $61.78 – $88.21 | $72.24 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 cacdb64f4999 · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 27 Aug, 08:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.41 | $59.27 – $86.89 | $50.00 – $122 | $70.61 | … |
🔒 sealed 28 Jul, 08:48 UTC · sha256 cacdb64f4999 · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.17 | $0.16 – $0.17 | $0.16 – $0.17 | $0.16 | $0.16 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 d9973c9254e6 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.49%
ADA · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.17 | $0.15 – $0.18 | $0.14 – $0.19 | $0.16 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 d9973c9254e6 · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.17 | $0.13 – $0.19 | $0.11 – $0.24 | $0.16 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 d9973c9254e6 · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.08 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 032d10a65292 · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.61%
DOGE · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.08 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 032d10a65292 · bias neutral — awaiting result
DOGE · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.05 – $0.10 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 032d10a65292 · bias short — awaiting result
LINK · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.46 | $8.26 – $8.75 | $8.02 – $9.04 | $8.50 | $8.76 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 74c6e961b64a · bias long — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +2.94%
LINK · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.46 | $7.96 – $9.30 | $7.36 – $10.14 | $8.58 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 74c6e961b64a · bias long — awaiting result
LINK · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.46 | $7.39 – $10.54 | $6.27 – $13.18 | $8.78 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 74c6e961b64a · bias long — awaiting result
XRP · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.10 | $1.08 – $1.12 | $1.05 – $1.15 | $1.10 | $1.10 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 996dad651c87 · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.52%
XRP · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.10 | $1.03 – $1.15 | $0.96 – $1.24 | $1.09 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 996dad651c87 · bias neutral — awaiting result
XRP · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:40 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.10 | $0.93 – $1.21 | $0.82 – $1.51 | $1.06 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:40 UTC · sha256 996dad651c87 · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $571 | $560 – $581 | $546 – $597 | $570 | $572 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 97fd0f065fb7 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.31%
BNB · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $571 | $543 – $605 | $509 – $649 | $569 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 97fd0f065fb7 · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $571 | $512 – $655 | $438 – $784 | $574 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 97fd0f065fb7 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,542 | $63,741 – $65,660 | $62,421 – $67,161 | $64,679 | $64,981 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 f6ef8ba96660 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.47%
BTC · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,542 | $62,077 – $68,004 | $58,506 – $72,387 | $64,902 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 f6ef8ba96660 · bias neutral — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,542 | $58,203 – $73,374 | $51,548 – $85,050 | $64,830 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 f6ef8ba96660 · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,888 | $1,856 – $1,934 | $1,808 – $1,990 | $1,894 | $1,949 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 b2d1373de041 · bias long — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +2.90%
ETH · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,888 | $1,801 – $2,037 | $1,673 – $2,197 | $1,910 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 b2d1373de041 · bias long — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,888 | $1,673 – $2,305 | $1,433 – $2,798 | $1,947 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 b2d1373de041 · bias long — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 27 Jul, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.88 | $72.38 – $76.82 | $70.17 – $79.49 | $74.51 | $76.56 |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 a3a873ba621a · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +2.76%
SOL · 7d resolves 2 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.88 | $68.56 – $81.00 | $63.12 – $90.13 | $73.81 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 a3a873ba621a · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 25 Aug, 12:39 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.88 | $61.03 – $89.51 | $51.46 – $125 | $72.71 | … |
🔒 sealed 26 Jul, 12:39 UTC · sha256 a3a873ba621a · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.16 – $0.17 | $0.15 – $0.17 | $0.16 | $0.17 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 bfc473408856 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.98%
ADA · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.15 – $0.17 | $0.14 – $0.19 | $0.16 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 bfc473408856 · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.13 – $0.18 | $0.11 – $0.24 | $0.15 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 bfc473408856 · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 3750b488a8c5 · bias short — outside the 80% band, median off by +6.02%
DOGE · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 3750b488a8c5 · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.05 – $0.09 | $0.06 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 3750b488a8c5 · bias short — awaiting result
LINK · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.31 | $8.11 – $8.59 | $7.87 – $8.88 | $8.35 | $8.44 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 7064afd69708 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.04%
LINK · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.31 | $7.80 – $9.11 | $7.21 – $9.93 | $8.40 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 7064afd69708 · bias long — awaiting result
LINK · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.31 | $7.17 – $10.24 | $6.09 – $12.79 | $8.53 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 7064afd69708 · bias neutral — awaiting result
XRP · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.09 | $1.07 – $1.11 | $1.04 – $1.14 | $1.09 | $1.10 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 d7996b8bb239 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.20%
XRP · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.09 | $1.02 – $1.14 | $0.95 – $1.23 | $1.08 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 d7996b8bb239 · bias short — awaiting result
XRP · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:49 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.09 | $0.92 – $1.19 | $0.81 – $1.50 | $1.04 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:49 UTC · sha256 d7996b8bb239 · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $565 | $554 – $575 | $540 – $591 | $565 | $571 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 3d06fd378978 · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.05%
BNB · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $565 | $536 – $597 | $502 – $641 | $562 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 3d06fd378978 · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $565 | $502 – $643 | $430 – $769 | $563 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 3d06fd378978 · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,064 | $63,086 – $64,987 | $61,780 – $66,472 | $64,014 | $64,515 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 0476704dfb6c · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.78%
BTC · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,064 | $61,266 – $67,119 | $57,743 – $71,445 | $64,058 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 0476704dfb6c · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,064 | $57,405 – $72,376 | $50,840 – $83,888 | $63,942 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 0476704dfb6c · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,858 | $1,828 – $1,905 | $1,781 – $1,961 | $1,866 | $1,887 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 da871799ff16 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.12%
ETH · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,858 | $1,776 – $2,008 | $1,649 – $2,166 | $1,883 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 da871799ff16 · bias long — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,858 | $1,649 – $2,272 | $1,413 – $2,759 | $1,920 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 da871799ff16 · bias long — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 26 Jul, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.92 | $71.46 – $75.84 | $69.28 – $78.49 | $73.56 | $74.93 |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 8b98f952668d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.87%
SOL · 7d resolves 1 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.92 | $67.53 – $79.79 | $62.17 – $88.79 | $72.73 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 8b98f952668d · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 24 Aug, 11:48 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $73.92 | $59.60 – $87.42 | $50.23 – $122 | $71.00 | … |
🔒 sealed 25 Jul, 11:48 UTC · sha256 8b98f952668d · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.16 – $0.17 | $0.16 – $0.17 | $0.16 | $0.16 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 bd132a83620d · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.00%
ADA · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.15 – $0.18 | $0.14 – $0.19 | $0.16 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 bd132a83620d · bias neutral — awaiting result
ADA · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.16 | $0.13 – $0.19 | $0.11 – $0.24 | $0.16 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 bd132a83620d · bias neutral — awaiting result
DOGE · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.07 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 f4e093e45688 · bias short — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +2.57%
DOGE · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 f4e093e45688 · bias short — awaiting result
DOGE · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.05 – $0.08 | $0.05 – $0.09 | $0.06 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 f4e093e45688 · bias short — awaiting result
LINK · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.30 | $8.11 – $8.59 | $7.87 – $8.87 | $8.35 | $8.36 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 8448f0e86d07 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.13%
LINK · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.30 | $7.82 – $9.13 | $7.23 – $9.95 | $8.42 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 8448f0e86d07 · bias long — awaiting result
LINK · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.30 | $7.26 – $10.36 | $6.16 – $12.95 | $8.63 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 8448f0e86d07 · bias long — awaiting result
XRP · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.09 | $1.07 – $1.11 | $1.04 – $1.14 | $1.09 | $1.09 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 7ee28b2f921d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.36%
XRP · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.09 | $1.02 – $1.14 | $0.95 – $1.23 | $1.08 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 7ee28b2f921d · bias short — awaiting result
XRP · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:56 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.09 | $0.92 – $1.19 | $0.81 – $1.50 | $1.04 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:56 UTC · sha256 7ee28b2f921d · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $561 | $551 – $571 | $537 – $588 | $561 | $569 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 cfc6d4dd41ee · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.40%
BNB · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $561 | $533 – $594 | $499 – $637 | $559 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 cfc6d4dd41ee · bias short — awaiting result
BNB · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $561 | $500 – $639 | $428 – $765 | $560 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 cfc6d4dd41ee · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,394 | $63,558 – $65,472 | $62,240 – $66,967 | $64,492 | $64,248 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 6d2e716fdf2f · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.38%
BTC · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,394 | $61,859 – $67,772 | $58,304 – $72,141 | $64,686 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 6d2e716fdf2f · bias neutral — awaiting result
BTC · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $64,394 | $58,006 – $73,142 | $51,372 – $84,770 | $64,611 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 6d2e716fdf2f · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,866 | $1,838 – $1,916 | $1,791 – $1,972 | $1,876 | $1,870 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 4db6fd4b6428 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.31%
ETH · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,866 | $1,789 – $2,023 | $1,661 – $2,182 | $1,897 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 4db6fd4b6428 · bias long — awaiting result
ETH · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,866 | $1,663 – $2,290 | $1,424 – $2,781 | $1,936 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 4db6fd4b6428 · bias long — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 25 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.55 | $72.13 – $76.55 | $69.93 – $79.22 | $74.24 | $74.15 |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 a63f0e138a6a · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.12%
SOL · 7d resolves 31 Jul, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.55 | $68.38 – $80.79 | $62.95 – $89.90 | $73.66 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 a63f0e138a6a · bias short — awaiting result
SOL · 30d resolves 23 Aug, 13:45 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $74.55 | $60.90 – $89.34 | $51.31 – $125 | $72.55 | … |
🔒 sealed 24 Jul, 13:45 UTC · sha256 a63f0e138a6a · bias short — awaiting result
ADA · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.17 | $0.17 – $0.18 | $0.16 – $0.18 | $0.17 | $0.17 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 f4ef3c31695a · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by +1.81%
ADA · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.17 | $0.16 – $0.18 | $0.15 – $0.20 | $0.17 | $0.16 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 f4ef3c31695a · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -3.59%
ADA · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.17 | $0.14 – $0.20 | $0.12 – $0.26 | $0.16 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 f4ef3c31695a · bias neutral — awaiting result
DOGE · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.08 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 7c30d4177a1d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.79%
DOGE · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.07 – $0.08 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.07 | $0.07 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 7c30d4177a1d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.08%
DOGE · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $0.07 | $0.06 – $0.08 | $0.05 – $0.10 | $0.07 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 7c30d4177a1d · bias short — awaiting result
LINK · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.62 | $8.41 – $8.91 | $8.16 – $9.21 | $8.66 | $8.59 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 f7c43a179cee · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.87%
LINK · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.62 | $8.11 – $9.47 | $7.49 – $10.32 | $8.73 | $8.40 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 f7c43a179cee · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -3.77%
LINK · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $8.62 | $7.53 – $10.75 | $6.39 – $13.43 | $8.95 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 f7c43a179cee · bias long — awaiting result
XRP · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.13 | $1.11 – $1.16 | $1.08 – $1.19 | $1.13 | $1.13 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 d8d8d4c42ef7 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.14%
XRP · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.13 | $1.07 – $1.19 | $1.00 – $1.29 | $1.13 | $1.09 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 d8d8d4c42ef7 · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -3.50%
XRP · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:21 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1.13 | $0.97 – $1.26 | $0.85 – $1.58 | $1.10 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:21 UTC · sha256 d8d8d4c42ef7 · bias neutral — awaiting result
BNB · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $569 | $559 – $579 | $544 – $596 | $569 | $570 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 024c28ba870d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.19%
BNB · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $569 | $541 – $603 | $507 – $647 | $568 | $569 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 024c28ba870d · bias short — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.21%
BNB · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $569 | $512 – $655 | $438 – $784 | $573 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 024c28ba870d · bias short — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $65,950 | $65,162 – $67,125 | $63,810 – $68,656 | $66,119 | $65,650 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 3963e80af150 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.71%
BTC · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $65,950 | $63,595 – $69,677 | $59,939 – $74,167 | $66,500 | $64,100 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 3963e80af150 · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -3.61%
BTC · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $65,950 | $60,080 – $75,774 | $53,207 – $87,811 | $66,923 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 3963e80af150 · bias neutral — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,919 | $1,889 – $1,969 | $1,840 – $2,026 | $1,928 | $1,922 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 bb24be342a9f · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.31%
ETH · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,919 | $1,837 – $2,078 | $1,706 – $2,241 | $1,948 | $1,912 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 bb24be342a9f · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -1.88%
ETH · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,919 | $1,708 – $2,353 | $1,463 – $2,857 | $1,988 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 bb24be342a9f · bias long — awaiting result
SOL · 24h resolves 23 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $77.26 | $75.09 – $79.71 | $72.81 – $82.48 | $77.31 | $77.44 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 d7f1f1c9eeda · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.17%
SOL · 7d resolves 29 Jul, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $77.26 | $71.96 – $85.04 | $66.25 – $94.63 | $77.53 | $73.62 |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 d7f1f1c9eeda · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -5.04%
SOL · 30d resolves 21 Aug, 06:12 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $77.26 | $65.77 – $96.53 | $55.38 – $135 | $78.34 | … |
🔒 sealed 22 Jul, 06:12 UTC · sha256 d7f1f1c9eeda · bias long — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 22 Jul, 16:53 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $66,537 | $65,706 – $67,686 | $64,342 – $69,230 | $66,671 | $66,156 |
🔒 sealed 21 Jul, 16:53 UTC · sha256 b90aa275c1c5 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -0.77%
BTC · 7d resolves 28 Jul, 16:53 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $66,537 | $64,091 – $70,222 | $60,406 – $74,747 | $67,017 | $64,058 |
🔒 sealed 21 Jul, 16:53 UTC · sha256 b90aa275c1c5 · bias neutral — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by -4.42%
BTC · 30d resolves 20 Aug, 16:53 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $66,537 | $60,536 – $76,358 | $53,610 – $88,481 | $67,433 | … |
🔒 sealed 21 Jul, 16:53 UTC · sha256 b90aa275c1c5 · bias neutral — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 22 Jul, 16:53 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,926 | $1,895 – $1,975 | $1,846 – $2,032 | $1,934 | $1,947 |
🔒 sealed 21 Jul, 16:53 UTC · sha256 b29be6ee3d70 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.66%
ETH · 7d resolves 28 Jul, 16:53 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,926 | $1,837 – $2,078 | $1,706 – $2,241 | $1,948 | $1,927 |
🔒 sealed 21 Jul, 16:53 UTC · sha256 b29be6ee3d70 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -1.09%
ETH · 30d resolves 20 Aug, 16:53 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,926 | $1,690 – $2,328 | $1,447 – $2,827 | $1,967 | … |
🔒 sealed 21 Jul, 16:53 UTC · sha256 b29be6ee3d70 · bias long — awaiting result
BTC · 24h resolves 21 Jul, 23:29 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $65,241 | $64,435 – $66,017 | $63,669 – $66,808 | $65,243 | $66,384 |
🔒 sealed 20 Jul, 23:29 UTC · sha256 ebbe3877fb57 · bias neutral — outside core, inside the 80%, median off by +1.75%
BTC · 7d resolves 27 Jul, 23:29 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $65,241 | $62,818 – $67,181 | $60,615 – $69,166 | $65,135 | $63,912 |
🔒 sealed 20 Jul, 23:29 UTC · sha256 ebbe3877fb57 · bias neutral — inside the core 50%, median off by -1.88%
BTC · 30d resolves 19 Aug, 23:29 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $65,241 | $58,812 – $68,027 | $52,180 – $72,517 | $63,869 | … |
🔒 sealed 20 Jul, 23:29 UTC · sha256 ebbe3877fb57 · bias short — awaiting result
ETH · 24h resolves 21 Jul, 23:29 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,903 | $1,873 – $1,940 | $1,836 – $1,987 | $1,909 | $1,922 |
🔒 sealed 20 Jul, 23:29 UTC · sha256 51aa1b446ea1 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by +0.66%
ETH · 7d resolves 27 Jul, 23:29 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,903 | $1,807 – $2,015 | $1,709 – $2,125 | $1,915 | $1,895 |
🔒 sealed 20 Jul, 23:29 UTC · sha256 51aa1b446ea1 · bias long — inside the core 50%, median off by -1.05%
ETH · 30d resolves 19 Aug, 23:29 UTC
| Core 50% | Wide 80% | Median | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed at $1,903 | $1,593 – $2,113 | $1,405 – $2,707 | $1,897 | … |
🔒 sealed 20 Jul, 23:29 UTC · sha256 51aa1b446ea1 · bias neutral — awaiting result
1 Calls are timestamped and locked pre-kickoff — the writer refuses late entries by construction.
2 Nothing is ever overwritten or deleted; revisions stay on the record and are counted below.
3 The scoring rule was committed before the first result existed — no picking winners after the fact.
4 Lower Brier = better forecast. One match proves nothing; calibration shows over a tournament.
Matches scored 16
Avg Brier — model 0.574
Avg Brier — market 0.567
Closer to truth (per match) 5model · 11market
⚽ Football — World Cup 2026 vs Polymarket
England vs Argentina 15 Jul, 19:00 UTC
| England | Draw | Argentina | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 32% | 32% | … |
| Market | 35% | 33% | 32% | … |
🔒 locked 15 Jul, 07:38 UTC · 0 revisions — awaiting result
France vs Spain 14 Jul, 19:00 UTC
| France | Draw | Spain | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 27% | 32% | 0.708 |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% | 0.746 |
✔ Spain won
Argentina vs Switzerland 12 Jul, 01:00 UTC
| Argentina | Draw | Switzerland | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 25% | 22% | 0.906 |
| Market | 57% | 27% | 16% | 0.893 |
✔ Draw
Norway vs England 11 Jul, 21:00 UTC
| Norway | Draw | England | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 22% | 49% | 0.935 |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 50% | 0.866 |
✔ Draw
Spain vs Belgium 10 Jul, 19:00 UTC
| Spain | Draw | Belgium | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 24% | 21% | 0.304 |
| Market | 59% | 24% | 17% | 0.250 |
✔ Spain won
France vs Morocco 9 Jul, 20:00 UTC
| France | Draw | Morocco | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 25% | 19% | 0.288 |
| Market | 62% | 25% | 14% | 0.225 |
Switzerland vs Colombia 7 Jul, 20:00 UTC
| Switzerland | Draw | Colombia | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 32% | 38% | 0.693 |
| Market | 26% | 31% | 42% | 0.720 |
✔ Draw
Argentina vs Egypt 7 Jul, 16:00 UTC
| Argentina | Draw | Egypt | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 24% | 16% | 0.241 |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 8% | 0.122 |
✔ Argentina won
United States vs Belgium 7 Jul, 00:00 UTC
| United States | Draw | Belgium | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 28% | 40% | 0.546 |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 34% | 0.653 |
✔ Belgium won
Portugal vs Spain 6 Jul, 19:00 UTC
| Portugal | Draw | Spain | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 27% | 51% | 0.358 |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 51% | 0.357 |
✔ Spain won
Mexico vs England 6 Jul, 00:00 UTC
| Mexico | Draw | England | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 31% | 32% | 0.696 |
| Market | 30% | 31% | 40% | 0.545 |
✔ England won
Brazil vs Norway 5 Jul, 20:00 UTC
| Brazil | Draw | Norway | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 27% | 25% | 0.875 |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 19% | 1.013 |
✔ Norway won
Paraguay vs France 4 Jul, 21:00 UTC
| Paraguay | Draw | France | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11% | 22% | 68% | 0.162 |
| Market | 4% | 12% | 83% | 0.046 |
Canada vs Morocco 4 Jul, 17:00 UTC
| Canada | Draw | Morocco | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 29% | 46% | 0.445 |
| Market | 18% | 29% | 54% | 0.327 |
Argentina vs Cabo Verde 3 Jul, 22:00 UTC
| Argentina | Draw | Cabo Verde | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 22% | 9% | 1.077 |
| Market | 86% | 10% | 4% | 1.540 |
Australia vs Egypt 3 Jul, 18:00 UTC
| Australia | Draw | Egypt | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 30% | 34% | 0.746 |
| Market | 26% | 33% | 40% | 0.676 |
Spain vs Austria 2 Jul, 19:00 UTC
| Spain | Draw | Austria | Brier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64% | 22% | 14% | 0.201 |
| Market | 76% | 17% | 7% | 0.089 |
All tracks
One protocol — locked calls, frozen benchmarks, public scoring — across every domain we forecast:
- ⚽Football — World Cup 2026 match odds vs Polymarket live now
- 📈Crypto — price rise/fall calls vs Binance prices + Polymarket crypto markets next
- 🗳️Politics — model vs Polymarket on political events planned
- ⛅Weather — model vs Polymarket weather markets planned
- 🎮Esports — match forecasts vs the markets planned
- 🏟️Sports × SX Bet — same protocol with exchange prices as the benchmark planned
Methodology, exactly
- Model call = the latest probabilities written strictly before kickoff (UTC timestamps shown per match). The write path refuses post-kickoff entries and never overwrites earlier calls.
- Market benchmark = Polymarket's traded prices from our last snapshot at or before the model's lock time — both sides frozen at the same instant. For negRisk events the three prices are renormalized to sum to 1 (removes the overround), per the pre-committed rule.
- Ground truth = the market's official resolution (exact 0/1), recorded only after UMA settlement.
- Score = 3-outcome Brier, Σ(p−y)² over win/draw/win. 0 is perfect, 2 is maximally wrong, a coin-flipper lands around 0.667. Lower is better.
- Match odds are regulation-time results (a knockout draw goes to extra time — the market resolves "draw").
Don't trust our timestamps — verify them
- Pre-event posts: each call is published on X and Telegram before the event (linked on the cards above). Those timestamps are set by the platforms, not by us.
- Independent archives: this page is snapshotted by the Wayback Machine after every update — browse the archive history and compare any pre-event snapshot with the final scores.
- Bitcoin-anchored proofs: every call is hashed and stamped via OpenTimestamps the moment it's locked — a cryptographic "existed before kickoff" attestation that nobody, including us, can backdate. Proof files available with the raw data.
- Raw data: the full call-by-call log is available to journalists and researchers on request.
This is an educational, transparency-first project by NeuPortal — entertainment and research, not betting or financial advice. Probabilities are for understanding events, not acting on them.